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Audio Commentary
May
13
2022

A Meaningful Swoon in Inflation

According to Director of Global Macro Research Francis Scotland, it is difficult to imagine the U.S. economy will not experience at least an intense period of softness or weakness, or even a brief recession, over the next several months. As he and Senior Vice President – Investment Specialist Katie Klingensmith discuss in this podcast, the Russia-Ukraine war’s impact on energy prices and growth in Europe, China’s ongoing battle against Covid, and the erosion of real incomes caused by high inflation are conspiring to create a dismal global growth trajectory. Correspondingly, a meaningful swoon in inflation later this year also may be on the table. They discuss how these developments could in turn affect bond investors.

Press play below to listen to the full commentary.

Groupthink is bad, especially at investment management firms. Brandywine Global therefore takes special care to ensure our corporate culture and investment processes support the articulation of diverse viewpoints. This blog is no different. The opinions expressed by our bloggers may sometimes challenge active positioning within one or more of our strategies. Each blogger represents one market view amongst many expressed at Brandywine Global. Although individual opinions will differ, our investment process and macro outlook will remain driven by a team approach.